Was the famous upset over the South African Springboks four years ago merely a one-off? Would the host disappear without trace in its own tournament? Would the 240 days in camp together have been in vain as the Brave Blossoms wilted under the brightest lights?
Despite the disappointing start, the answer has been emphatically “no” as Japan has lit up the tournament with its stunning brand of power and pace.
‘A tier-one nation’
“They’re a top tier-one nation as far as I’m concerned,” De Villiers, who played 109 times for South Africa, told CNN World Rugby. “They deserve respect and can go toe-to-toe with any other team. They’re strong up front, they have brilliant backs, are well coached and they’re playing for their country with passion.”
A sports event will always seem trivial when compared to such tragedies, but De Villiers noted how struggle can be a galvanizing force for both spectators and players.
This makes Japan a dangerous opponent and one that South Africa’s coach Rassie Erasmus will not be underestimating.
“You can see they are aligned in their game plan,” Erasmus told reporters Monday. “As a unit, they are just really a formidable team.”
South Africa has already beaten Japan once this year. In a World Cup warm-up match in September, the Springboks ran out 41-7 winners.
“That game was to erase the Brighton game,” Erasmus said. “It’s 1-1 and now we go into a quarterfinal against a really tough team. That game is in the past now.”
That, and the growing capabilities of this Japanese team, is good news for De Villiers, who confessed to feeling a little more secure about presiding over his nation’s most humiliating defeat.
“I think we have more perspective now,” De Villiers said. “History has shown that when Japan beat us, it was the start of a process and not just a major upset without any context. Yes, it still hurts, but we can now see that they are no longer minnows.”
Strength in diversity
Beating South Africa again would constitute an even greater achievement for Japan. Despite swashbuckling through the group stage, it will need to raise its game even higher against the imposing Springbok pack. In this respect, the omens are good.
When Japan took the lead against Ireland and Scotland, the Europeans reverted to a forwards heavy approach in order to batter a direct path to the try line. There is a hard-to-eradicate theory in rugby that bigger equals better, but wave after wave of inept attacks broke on immovable Japanese defenders.
“Size doesn’t matter when it comes to technique,” said the 6 foot 3 inch, 230-pound De Villiers. “We saw in the scrums how the smaller Japanese props made life uncomfortable for the bigger Scots and Irish. They tackle ferociously and recycle the ball as well as anyone in the collision.”
But, as De Villiers said, the Springbok pack is a different animal and will march into the quarterfinal with a reputation to uphold. South African teams have traditionally relied on brute strength and aggression.
Captain Michael Leitch (New Zealand) and Pieter Labuschagne (South Africa) have added muscle in the loose forwards, while James Moore (Australia) and Luke Thompson (New Zealand) have brought height in the line-out.
“Their diversity is their strength,” De Villiers said. “No matter what happens on Sunday, this group of players can be proud of what they’ve achieved. They will no doubt inspire future generations of Japanese fans.”
It was a surprise when Japan beat South Africa four years ago. It was a surprise when it beat two established tier-one nations to progress to the quarterfinals at this World Cup. Japan now registers as a sizable blip on world rugby’s radar. No one is surprised anymore.